Simulate Routes
Planning scenarios
ACTIVE
EE
Principle 2 · Built for Execution Eric · Transportation Planner · horizon is this week · plan → stress test → send report — baseline plan auto-loaded every Monday 08:00
1 The problem: which of my planned routes will break this week?
4 First 30s: Eric sees his entire week at a glance
ACTIVE_ROUTES
17
this week
SUPPLIERS
5
origin depots
DESTINATION_DCS
2
Paris · Frankfurt
EST_TOTAL_COST
€48.2K
before stress test

Decision Summary

Scenario: Wk16 Baseline| decision: Plan loaded. Run stress test to surface at-risk routes.| active_routes: 17| at_risk: unknown (not yet stress-tested)| decision_status: Pending stress test
RouteFromToUnitsTransitCostDifficulty
SUP1-ST1RotterdamParis DC96.8 hrs€2,211Low
SUP1-ST2RotterdamFrankfurt DC125.8 hrs€1,980Low
SUP2-ST1AntwerpParis DC155.2 hrs€2,525Low
SUP2-ST2AntwerpFrankfurt DC84.6 hrs€880Low
SUP3-ST1HamburgParis DC610.8 hrs€2,820High
SUP3-ST2HamburgFrankfurt DC905.3 hrs€8,100Medium
SUP4-ST1LilleParis DC202.6 hrs€1,200Low
SUP5-ST1MilanParis DC159.0 hrs€6,450Low
SUP5-ST2MilanFrankfurt DC107.6 hrs€2,870Low
+ 8 more hub-consolidated routes
Difficulty: High if transit > 10 hrs · Medium if units > 50 · otherwise Low
3 Principle 3 · What we cut
  • Configuration wizard — the app already knows Eric's network
  • Raw data export / CSV download — Eric needs decisions, not spreadsheets
  • Historical trend analysis — this is about THIS week, not last quarter
  • Admin settings — a transport planner doesn't configure the system
  • Multi-week planning — that's Tactical Tina's job, not Eric's
Sensitivity Parameters
±20%
15%
+10%
−5%

Route Change Request

Week 16 · Base Scenario
Ref: ROUTE-REQ-W16-042
Generated: Wed Apr 15, 14:32
To: Planner (Logistics Planning team)
From: Execution Eric · Transportation Planner
Cc: Frankfurt DC, Brussels Hub
Subject: 3 route changes required for Week 16 based on Monday stress test

I ran this week's stress test against the published plan with ±20% lead time variability and a 15% transit delay probability. Three routes fail under those conditions and I've picked the mitigating action for each. Please execute the changes below before Tuesday dispatch.

Requested Changes

RouteUnitsRisk FoundRequested Action
SUP3-ST2 · Hamburg → Frankfurt 90 94% probability of missing delivery window; projected stockout at Frankfurt DC by Thursday Run shipment direct (no hub consolidation)
HUB1 · Brussels throughput 3 FTL loads Hub at 112% capacity Thursday AM; 3 outbound loads at dispatch risk Run 1 load direct to destination DC; defer 1 load to Friday
SUP5-ST1 · Milan → Paris 15 Carrier reliability drop; spot rate 47% over budget (€2,070 variance) Run shipment direct via backup carrier

Summary Impact

MetricBeforeAfterDelta
Routes adjusted0 of 173 of 17+3
Stockout probability (SUP3-ST2)94%8%−86 pts
Weekly cost impact€48,200€52,752+€4,552
Flex budget remaining€8,000€3,448−€4,552

Cost increase falls within this week's flex budget. No approvals required above my threshold. Please confirm execution by end of day Tuesday so carriers can be booked.

Execution Eric
Transportation Planner · Week 16
Sent from Simulate Routes · Wed Apr 15, 14:32

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